Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.099996 0.108082 0.116695 0.126582 0.137656 0.149720 0.163915
2024-11-03 0.090471 0.102298 0.115714 0.132190 0.152064 0.175500 0.205591
2024-11-10 0.085220 0.099592 0.116672 0.138763 0.167024 0.202600 0.251833
2024-11-17 0.078782 0.094318 0.113431 0.139144 0.173580 0.219263 0.286558
2024-11-24 0.072682 0.088671 0.108885 0.136950 0.175975 0.230077 0.314204
2024-12-01 0.067359 0.083462 0.104288 0.133980 0.176620 0.238060 0.338356
2024-12-08 0.062354 0.078244 0.099179 0.129693 0.174720 0.241781 0.356028
2024-12-15 0.059241 0.075299 0.096858 0.129007 0.177814 0.253113 0.387501
2024-12-22 0.056074 0.072050 0.093849 0.126997 0.178583 0.260689 0.413530
2024-12-29 0.054229 0.070496 0.093079 0.128161 0.184267 0.276750 0.457432
2025-01-05 0.051277 0.067206 0.089595 0.124909 0.182513 0.279935 0.477290
2025-01-12 0.048617 0.064196 0.086336 0.121751 0.180584 0.282503 0.496223
2025-01-19 0.045946 0.061173 0.083084 0.118686 0.179071 0.286613 0.521437
2025-01-26 0.045502 0.061388 0.084710 0.123587 0.191819 0.319106 0.617145
2025-02-02 0.045310 0.061949 0.086879 0.129541 0.207140 0.359274 0.744203
2025-02-09 0.043843 0.060492 0.085791 0.129882 0.212134 0.379280 0.827404
2025-02-16 0.041988 0.058343 0.083467 0.127885 0.212419 0.389230 0.886474
2025-02-23 0.040126 0.056096 0.080857 0.125180 0.211024 0.395221 0.936175
2025-03-02 0.038153 0.053589 0.077697 0.121273 0.206841 0.394230 0.964296
2025-03-09 0.036961 0.052260 0.076402 0.120647 0.209266 0.409167 1.049946
2025-03-16 0.035617 0.050632 0.074525 0.118813 0.208985 0.417502 1.116606
2025-03-23 0.034893 0.049963 0.074218 0.119875 0.214945 0.442516 1.256090
2025-03-30 0.033490 0.048142 0.071869 0.116907 0.211850 0.443514 1.302538